QBs & College Statistics – Do They matter?

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My last article on PhinPhantic.com took a look at six 2nd tier QBs in this year’s NFL Draft.  I mainly compared their college statistics, but added some of my own analysis.  The article received quite a few comments prompting an interesting discussion.  First thing, I want to thank all who joined the discussion.  Second, I wanted to note that the main criticism of the analysis questioned QBs and College StatisticsDo They Matter?  So, I decided to take a look at the question researching some professional QBs and their college and pro statistics.

Just to summarize, I analyzed the college statistics of these six QBs focusing on four key statistics – completion percentage, yards per attempt (YPA), touchdown to interception ratio (TDs/INTs), and sacks taken per game.  It should be noted that I also looked at a whole lot more their statistics.  The table below identifies the six QBs and their college team along with these four key statistics in 2010.

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Tags: Andy Dalton Bill Parcells Chad Henne Christian Ponder Colin Kaepernick College QBs Dan Henning Greg McElroy Jake Locker Jeff Ireland Joe Flacco Matt Ryan Miami Dolphins NFL NFL Draft Philip Rivers Ryan Mallett Tony Sparano

  • Rocktosr

    Do some real research for once in your life and watch the games. The stats you use to argue your point do not reflect circumstances that affect the QB at the time of each stat. Playing with a lead, from behind, number of times that type offense requires him to throw per game, quality of protection afforded on each play and how dire the circumstance to make a play…………. Stats can give you a theory but they cannot prove your point. A QB’s stats are so dependent on the players around him just as theirs is dependent upon him. If you only take the time to read stats, then, you completely miss the point that is made when you watch the games. Watching the games will answer why he threw short, how he handled the pressure, how well his team is at helping or hindering those stats. Stats may be the facts but still do not tell you the whole truth.

  • Patrik Nohe

    Why did you go two years deep on the NFL players and only one year deep on the college prospects? Once again, you mention Christian Ponder’s accuracy (in just his senior season with a bad arm) but he was a nearly 70% passer as a junior. Not to mention he had an 8.23 yard YPA as a junior, which is better than all but one of the season’s you just highlighted with your pro’s (second to Philip Rivers 9.3 YPA as a senior). Not to mention Ponder did all that in spite of a defense ranked in the 100′s. I only know one of the QB prospects really in depth at this point, but I can tell you that your research on that prospect is incomplete.

  • Patrik Nohe

    It’s also worth mentioning that with a bad arm (bursa sac injury that had to be lanced regularly and affected arm strength), without his best receiver (Jarmon Fortson who was thrown off the team) and with more than his share of drops, Ponder still improved his touchdown to interception ratio as a senior.