It’s All In The Numbers

It’s all in the numbers

I don’t know how to scout a QB; I’ll leave that one to you guys.  However, I do like looking at the numbers and since I am stat guy I thought I would share with you a key observation.

I want a double digit QB.

What do I mean by this, let’s take a closer look.

Past Super bowl Champion QBs:

-          Aaron Rodgers #12

-          Drew Brees #9

-          Peyton Manning #18

-          Ben Roethlisberger # 7

-          Eli Manning  # 10

-          Tom Brady # 12

Of the six QB’s that are listed above 4 of them are a double digit QB. 

Now let’s look at our past Miami Dolphins QB:

-          Dan Marino # 13

-          Duante Culpepper # 8

-          Chad Henne #7

-          AJ Feely #7

-          John Beck #9

-          Matt Moore #8

-          Pat White  #6

-          Chad Pennington #10

The only two QB’s that are on the list that have taken us to the playoffs are Dan Marino; 13 and Chad Pennington 10.  I know it might be a weird stat, and there are other exceptions to the rule, but there has to be something to this logic.  Even though I never had the privilege to watch Bob Griese play,  he was also a double digit QB.  Griese wore 12 and he was our starting QB the last time we made it to and won the Super Bowl.

The good news in all of this, we are in a prime position to obtain a top five pick in this upcoming draft and the highly regarded number one prospect in the draft, Andrew Luck…he wears 12.  Last time a Dolphin QB wore that number we went to the big dance.

Numbers don’t lie….

Topics: Aaron Rogers, Andrew Luck, Bob Griese, Chad Henne, Dan Marino

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  • JNS

    This might be the stupid post that I have ever seen – not just on this site – but on any site – and I don’t just mean dolphin sites, or sports sites, I mean everything. Including sites based around stupid.

    There is a BIG difference between correlation and causation. Statistics 101. I actually think you owe all of us 60 seconds of our life back. To steal from Bill Madison: “We are all stupider for having read this and may G-d have mercy on your soul”.

  • JNS

    This might be the stupid post that I have ever seen – not just on this site – but on any site – and I don’t just mean dolphin sites, or sports sites, I mean everything. Including sites based around stupid.

    There is a BIG difference between correlation and causation. Statistics 101. I actually think you owe all of us 60 seconds of our life back. To steal from Billy Madison: “We are all stupider for having read this and may G-d have mercy on your soul”.

  • Bahamas

    @JNS Everyone has a right to their own opinion.
    The premise of having the ability to share one thoughts or observations are not yours to control. This was an interesting fact, and if you really like to compare stats look at the standard derivation and the U not, and you will see that the variance in QB winning SB is greater when a QB has double digit number.
    Quantitate Stats, i mean if you ever took that class….but you know what…i’ll be the bigger person…thanks for your feedback

  • JNS

    @bahamas – I agree everyone has a right to their opinion – please show me where I said otherwise. What did I try to control? You wrote a silly post with the concept being your a numbers guy.

    Do you understand the basic differences between causation and corelation? The best this post can say is there is a seeming correlation between double digit jersey numbers and success. If it was causation – matt moore would just need to throw on number 18 and we would be good to go. And conversely, if we sucked enough for luck and he decided he wanted to move from number 12 to number 9, he would suck. Really? That is your thesis? Please….. As I said, stupid.

  • mmandia

    How could you leave off #9 Jay Fiedler? He took us to the playoffs. :)

  • Strongguard70

    Cleo Lemon wore 17. End of discussion.

  • Phinphanatic

    @Strongguard70 sure does! LOL