Tua Tagovailoa, QB
Everyone is excited about Tua Tagovailoa’s future with the Miami Dolphins. He’s a star in the making and will probably be one of the top fantasy quarterbacks for years to come. However, his rookie is an entirely different story. He is facing a myriad of factors that will limit his statistical production.
The first and most obvious reason for staying away from Tua is the truncated off-season of 2020. The COVID-19 pandemic destroyed any chance of a real summer for the young signal caller. Not only did the team not get enough reps together to learn a new offense, an offensive line that will have at least four new starters has no cohesion.
Another reason to avoid Tua in your drafts is uncertainty about when he will play. He’s behind schedule with learning the offense compared to Ryan Fitzpatrick, who’s been with offensive coordinator Chan Gailey in two different NFL stops. Also, the beginning of the season is brutal in terms of pass rushers he will face. If the team isn’t ready for a young quarterback, Tua could remain on the sidelines until November.
Tua Tagovailoa may not be a fantasy superstar in 2020 and the final reason, while it seems small, must still be on the back burner of fantasy owners’ minds: Drops. The Miami Dolphins led the NFL in dropped passes in 2019 and the core of pass catchers has not changed. Kalen Ballage contributed four of the 28 drops, so shifting to a combination of Jordan Howard and Matt Breida will help. Another small thing to note: The receiving core will be shifting from a right handed quarterback to a left handed quarterback mid-season. It seems innocuous, but drops will occur. The spin on the ball is different and that is something to watch for.