To be honest, I’m not so sure that Tua is that far off from the quarterbacks in this range. I think he is comparable to all of them in statistics and ability.
Lamar Jackson is a QB many will argue should be in the top three but we have seen that as a QB he is extremely inconsistent and prone to mistakes. His best value his arm strength but the best part of his game is running the ball. Take away the latter and I think many would view him completely different. If I were building a franchise, I wouldn’t have Jackson on the top of my lists.
Joe Burrow stands out as another up and coming QB and he has excelled this year. Had it not been for a devastating knee injury last year, he may very well have taken the ROTY honors from Justin Herbert. He is going to get better and I can see a future where the top QBs in the AFC are Herbert, Tagovailoa, Burrow, and Mahomes.
If I am being honest, my list of QBs above Tua Tagovailoa, in the AFC ends here. That would put Tua in my rankings at six. I think he continues to improve weekly and has minimized his mistakes. I think Tua’s ceiling is a lot higher than the QBs that are ranked below him currently. and that means that for me, a 6th spot for Tua makes a lot of sense.
The only other QB that I would consider for the 6th best QB in the AFC would be Carson Wentz. Wentz is playing very well this year for the Colts but is he truly better than Tua as a long term prospect? It is close at this point and I would agree that this one is fair to debate.