The AFC is a one-team show right now and that is the Buffalo Bills. Last season the Patriots finished one game back but that is not what we should expect this year.
The Bills should be able to get back into the double-digit win column easily and they will probably lock up the division with about two weeks left in the season. That being said, the Bills will have to work for that during the first half of the year as their schedule gets easier down the stretch.
Will another AFC East team make a run for the postseason? It is possible. It is easy to write off the Patriots given the poor off-season they have had but for whatever reason, the NFL loves Bill Belichick and he gets breaks that other teams don’t normally get. Does that mean they push for the division? No but they will try and compete for another WC spot.
Miami is an enigma. We don’t know yet what they can be. Too many questions and no answers as camp begins. In time we will know who they are and if they can win consistently enough to get into the playoff discussion. That will hinge on Mike McDaniel, Josh Boyer, and Tua Tagovailoa.
The Jets are better than they have been in probably five years but they have a horrible schedule out of the gate and a lot of unanswered questions as well. Mostly surrounding their schemes and Zach Wilson. It is hard to imagine the Jets climbing out this year.
Predictions: The Bills should be able to stay at the top of the division in 2022 and could have a clear path to a deep playoff run but last year may have been their best shot to make the Super Bowl as the competition in the AFC got a lot stronger this year.