Miami Dolphins Tyreek Hill a long shot to break NFL yardage mark

Dec 11, 2022; Inglewood, California, USA; Miami Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill (10) scores on a 60-yard touchdown reception in the second half against the Los Angeles Chargers at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
Dec 11, 2022; Inglewood, California, USA; Miami Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill (10) scores on a 60-yard touchdown reception in the second half against the Los Angeles Chargers at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports /
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The Miami Dolphins to receiver, Tyreek Hill, was on pace to break if not shatter the NFL single season mark for receiving yards. Now, it will be a long shot.

Hill, who led the league in receiving yards most of the season slipped behind Vikings receiver Justin Jefferson over the last few weeks and while he could still break the 2K record mark, something never done before, he would need a lot of catches and a lot of yards to do it.

Currently, Hill has 1,529 yards and Jefferson has 1,623 yards. Hill, now 471 yards away from the mark would need to average 157 yards in each of his final three games. For Hill, it may not be impossible but it is not looking as though he will reach it.

For Jefferson, who trailed Hill by more than a 100 yards throughout the year, needs 125 yards per game to reach 2,000.

Hill’s best games this year were 190, 160, and 188. His worst games were 33, 47, 44, and 69. Over the last five games, Hill has only gone over 100 yards one time, a 146 yard effort against the 49ers.

Jefferson on the other hand, has been consistent most of the year. He has posted highs of 223, 193, and 184, and lows of 14, 98, 33, and 45. In his last five games he has posted above 100 yards receiving three times.

The drop in production for Hill can easily be tied to the play of the Dolphins offense as a whole. Tua struggled considerably against the 49ers and Chargers despite Hill posting 146 yards on 9 receptions. Against the Texans, Hill managed 85 yards as the Texans were able to control the 2nd half perhaps setting up a blueprint for other teams to shut down Miami’s passing attack.

Green Bay has one of the best pass defending defenses in the NFL only giving up 2,592 yards on the season, compare that to Miami who has given up almost 1,000 yards more than that at 3,444.

Another potential ding to his chances is that the Packers have given up the 4th most rushing yards  which means the Dolphins could try and run the ball and keep Aaron Rodgers on the sideline.

With games against the Patriots and Jets to wrap up the season, 157 yards per game is going to be a tough order and makes his chances, again, a long shot.